Economic Policy Uncertainty and Inflation Expectations
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Inflation persistence, inflation expectations, and monetary policy in China
a r t i c l e i n f o This paper constructs a quarterly series of GDP deflator inflation for China from 1979 to 2009 and tests for a structural break with an unknown change point in the dynamic inflation process. Empirical results suggest a significant structural change in inflation persistence. Employing a counterfactual simulation method, we show that the structural change is primarily attrib...
متن کاملInflation Target Uncertainty and Monetary Policy
I develop an extension of the standard New Keynesian model to monetary policy regime switching to study the impact of uncertainty around the future inflation target. First, I fully characterize how the responses of current inflation and output to inflation target uncertainty depend on the monetary policy rule. If monetary policy is passive, inflation may increase far beyond the anticipated incr...
متن کاملInflation Target Uncertainty and Monetary Policy
I develop an extension of the standard New Keynesian model to monetary policy regime switching to study the impact of uncertainty around the future inflation target. First, I fully characterize how the responses of current inflation and output to inflation target uncertainty depend on the monetary policy rule. If monetary policy is passive, inflation may increase far beyond the anticipated incr...
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Several authors report regressions where inflation slows economic growth. These results have been criticized because of their sensitivity to the sample analyzed and because there does not appear to be a strong theoretical reason for believing that inflation significantly lowers growth. Indeed, researchers have suggested that inflation proxies for inflation uncertainty or poor economic policy. M...
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This paper uses a new data set that better measures inflation uncertainty to investigate the effects of inflation and inflation uncertainty on economic growth. In the cross section of forty-four countries that the new data allows, inflation uncertainty has a significant negative impact on economic growth. Uncertainty performs better than inflation crisis as an explanatory variable of economic g...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: SSRN Electronic Journal
سال: 2014
ISSN: 1556-5068
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2510829